LIFE CYCLE SUSTAINABILITY ASSESSMENT OF POWER GENERATION EXPANSION: THE CURRENT AND FUTURE SCENARIOS IN BRAZIL
- João Gabriel Lassio
, - Denise Matos,
- David Castelo Branco,
- Alessandra Magrini
Resumen
El paradigma de desarrollo centrado en la sostenibilidad no solo ha impulsado la actual transición energética hacia las fuentes renovables, sino que también se ha convertido en una prioridad para tener en cuenta todas aquellas cuestiones socio-ambientales a lo largo de la cadena de generación eléctrica, lo que implica una actualización de la forma en la que se planifica la expansión del suministro eléctrico en el futuro. En este contexto, este artículo explora la integración del Análisis de Sostenibilidad del Ciclo de Vida (ASCV) con un método de Análisis de Decisiones Multicriterio (ADM), denominado Técnica de Calificación de Atributos Múltiples Simples (SMARTER), para evaluar la sostenibilidad de la matriz eléctrica
actual y de los escenarios futuros en Brasil, proyectados por el Plan Decenal de Expansión Energética de Brasil 2027.
El análisis se realiza de acuerdo con nueve criterios distribuidos en las dimensiones ambiental, social y económica. Los resultados indican un mejor desempeño social, económico y ambiental de la matriz eléctrica nacional actual, así como, en sus escenarios futuros, principalmente, debido a la expansión de la participación de algunas fuentes de energía renovables. Con respecto a los escenarios futuros, aquellos con mayor participación de estas fuentes se asocian con el mejor desempeño en materia de sostenibilidad. No obstante, estos resultados no pretenden señalar el camino más adecuado para el Parque Nacional de Generación Eléctrica, ya que, para ello, también es necesario tomar en cuenta otros factores, además de los considerados en este artículo, como son los macroeconómicos, técnicos, de ubicación, políticas públicas, etc.
Palabras clave
Análisis de Sostenibilidad del Ciclo de Vida, Planificación Energética, Generación de Poder, Sostenibilidad
Biografía del autor/a
João Gabriel Lassio
Ph.D. candidate
Energy Planning Program
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Research fellow
Energy Transition and Sustainability Department of the Brazilian Electric Energy Research Center
(CEPEL), Brazil
M.Sc. in Sustainable Development and Transport
École Nationale de Ponts et Chaussées, France
Civil Engineering
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Denise Matos
Ph.D. candidate
Energy Planning Program
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Researcher
Energy Transition and Sustainability Department of the Brazilian Electric Energy Research Center
(CEPEL), Brazil
M.Sc. in Population Studies and Social Research
National School of Statistical Sciences, Brazil
Geography
State University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
David Castelo Branco
Ph.D. in Energy Planning
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Assistant Professors of the Energy Planning Program
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
M.Sc. in Energy Planning
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Mechanical Engineering
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Alessandra Magrini
Ph.D. in Business Administration
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro
M.Sc. in Energy Planning
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Chemical Engineering
Federal University of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
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