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Vol. 15 No. 1 (2025)
Enero-Junio

Articles

Estimating the added value of critical reading competence in college students using statistical modeling

https://doi.org/10.19053/uptc.20278306.v15.n1.2025.18823

Published 2025-02-15

  • Gabriel Jaime Posada-Hernández
    • ,
  • Mauricio López-Bonilla
    • ,
  • Diego Alejandro Uribe-Suarez
    • ,
  • Viviana Gómez-Ceballos
    • ,
  • Luis Fernando Cardona-Palacio

Gabriel Jaime Posada-Hernández
Universidad Católica Luis Amigó, Medellín, Colombia image/svg+xml

Mauricio López-Bonilla
Universidad Católica Luis Amigó, Medellín, Colombia image/svg+xml

Diego Alejandro Uribe-Suarez
Universidad Católica Luis Amigó, Medellín, Colombia image/svg+xml

Viviana Gómez-Ceballos
Universidad Católica Luis Amigó, Medellín, Colombia image/svg+xml

Luis Fernando Cardona-Palacio
Universidad Católica Luis Amigó, Medellín, Colombia image/svg+xml

Abstract

This study develops a model to predict students' scores and added value in the critical reading competency at Luis Amigó Catholic University, Medellín campus (Colombia). The institutional added value is assessed by comparing results from the Saber 11 test with an institutional exam conducted in the fifth semester. A linear correlation matrix was used to identify statistically significant variables at a 95% confidence level, with the accumulated average emerging as the most representative variable. Assumptions of linearity, normality, independence, collinearity, and homoscedasticity were verified. Outliers were identified using the William diagram, showing that most data adequately describe the model. Quintile analysis reveals that 35% of students exceeded the average in both tests, 23% showed improvement in the institutional exam, 25.2% had consistently low scores, and 16.8% performed better on the Saber 11 test.

Keywords

critical reading, discursive strategies, statistical modelling, added value

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Author Biography

Gabriel Jaime Posada-Hernández

Ingeniero Forestal, Magíster en Estudios Urbano Regionales

Mauricio López-Bonilla

Ingeniero electrónico, Magíster en Ingeniería Eléctrica.

Diego Alejandro Uribe-Suarez

Ingeniero Mecánico, Doctor en Mecánica Computacional y Materiales

Viviana Gómez-Ceballos

Ingeniera Química, Doctora en Ingeniería

Luis Fernando Cardona-Palacio

Ingeniero Químico, Doctor en Ingeniería

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