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Vol. 24 Núm. 1 (2024)
Inquietud Empresarial 24(1) Enero-Junio: Special Issue on: "Organizational Studies in Innovation and Sustainability. The New Challenges in a Post Covid Era".

INNOVACIÓN Y TECNOLOGÍA

La actividad innovadora y sus fuentes de incertidumbre: una taxonomía integral

https://doi.org/10.19053/uptc.01211048.16596

Publicado 18-05-2024

  • Liliana Ramírez Rodríguez
    • ,
  • Gibrán Rivera González

Liliana Ramírez Rodríguez
Unidad Profesional Interdisciplinaria de Ingeniería y Ciencias Sociales y Administrativas, Facultad; Instituto Politécnico Nacional; Av. Té 950, Granjas México, Iztacalco, C.P. 08400, Ciudad de México, México

Gibrán Rivera González
Unidad Profesional Interdisciplinaria de Ingeniería y Ciencias Sociales y Administrativas, Facultad; Instituto Politécnico Nacional; Av. Té 950, Granjas México, Iztacalco, C.P. 08400, Ciudad de México, México

Resumen

La única certeza en la innovación es la incertidumbre. La prevalencia de incógnitas heterogéneas, el carácter novedoso, no estándar, complejo, multivariable e interdependiente hace de la innovación un proceso razonado bajo incertidumbre. Cuando se describen los efectos adversos de este proceso, con frecuencia se hace refiriéndose a los términos riesgo e incertidumbre indistintamente dado el límite difuso entre ambos. Sin embargo, esta confusión puede llevar a tomar decisiones con deficiente calidad al suponer que se conocen con claridad variables importantes que afectan la innovación cuando en realidad no es así. Ante esta disparidad y ambigüedad teórica y empírica detectada, este trabajo desarrolla un análisis del concepto de incertidumbre, identifica sus características clave y ofrece una taxonomía de las fuentes que la originan en el contexto de la innovación. A través de un análisis de revisión de literatura mixta se presenta una proposición de incertidumbre que integra la percepción, los procesos de cognición, las limitaciones cognitivas, la brecha de información o conocimiento, la calidad y su accesibilidad, así como la inferencia y la construcción de modelos subjetivos que dan sentido a las situaciones experimentadas. Además, los resultados aportan la identificación de cinco características clave y nueve fuentes de incertidumbre: 1) Política - económica, 2) Sociocultural – socioambiental, 3) Mercado, 4) Relaciones de cooperación, colaboración y coinnovación, 5) Técnico – tecnológico, 6) Capital financiero, 7) Capital intelectual humano, 8) Gobierno corporativo - Interdependencias operativas y 9) Comercial.

Códigos JEL: O30, O31

Recibido: 26/09/2023. Aceptado: 14/04/2024. Publicado: 18/05/2024

Palabras clave

innovación, incertidumbre, percepción, conocimiento

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